Quick and dirty forum bets: PS5
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I know we just got a betting special, but transposing the arcane rules and regs Don and Huber are using to the forum setting would be tough and require more time and effort than I'm willing to devote. Also, there's not much time left before the actual event, so I just came up with a few simple Y/N questions for predictions:
Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
Will Knack reveal himself?
Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
Will Kojima reveal himself?
Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
Bonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
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Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
YWill a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
NWill Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown?
NWill we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
NWill more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
YWill Knack reveal himself?
YWill the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
YWill Kojima reveal himself?
YWill the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
YWill a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
YWill the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
NWill the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
YBonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
4
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Cool idea!!
Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
NoWill a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
NoWill Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
YesWill we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
NoWill more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
YesWill Knack reveal himself?
DefinitelyWill the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
NoWill Kojima reveal himself?
NoWill the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
YesWill a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
YesWill the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
YesWill the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
YesBonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
0
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Sounds fun, here's my predictions:
@tokyoslim said in Quick and dirty forum bets: PS5:
Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
No. I think logically speaking most individual games have less than a 50% chance of appearing. In my model, you really need something to be 1st party or highly expected to be coming to PS5 to raise that above 50%.
Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
No.
Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown?
No.
Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
Unfortunately no. Even in normal years, these first big console presentations have a nasty habit of kicking that can down the road. They really ought to give us this information during console reveals, but I think an exact launch date will be the big hurdle. (if not the price as well!) We don't know either from Microsoft, and they are further down this "marketing/press announcement" road.
Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
Yes. Even if Japan is half of their games, getting 12+ games shown total isn't that huge of a target to exceed. Indies will fill that up nicely. (And what about N. American 1st party studios...do they count?)
Will Knack reveal himself?
Yes.
Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
No. (Sorry!)
Will Kojima reveal himself?
Yes. Tough call. There some chance he could appear on camera attached to a new trailer, but I think that chance is also low so soon after Death Stranding. On the other hand, Kojima would be a good person to use for those "here are developers saying nice things about how easy our new system is to program and how they have exctigin ideas/can't wait/new possibilities etc." that we often get for new consoles.
Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
Yes.
Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
Yes. Racing is such a new console staple, so eh why not this time?
Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
No, in their minds this is not an E3 press conference, it is the reveal event. They will want to keep it tight because this is their biggest moment to get eyeballs on PS5.
Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
Yes. Microsoft managed it, didn't they?
Bonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch?Once.
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Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
YesWill a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
YesWill Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
NoWill we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
NoWill more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
YesWill Knack reveal himself?
Heck noWill the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
YesWill Kojima reveal himself?
NoWill the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
YesWill a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
YesWill the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
YesWill the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
YesBonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
5 times, cuz it's the PS5
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Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
YesWill a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
NoWill Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown?
NoWill we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
YesWill more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
YesWill Knack reveal himself?
NoWill the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
NoWill Kojima reveal himself?
NoWill the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
YesWill a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
NoWill the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
YesWill the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
YesBonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
0 - It's pre-recorded, so it should be smooth.
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Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
YWill a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
YWill Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
NWill we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
YWill more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
NWill Knack reveal himself?
NWill the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
NWill Kojima reveal himself?
NWill the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
YWill a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
NWill the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
YWill the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
YBonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
Just once, but it'll be a long stutter
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Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
Yes
Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
No
Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
No
Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
No
Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
Yes
Will Knack reveal himself?
Yes
Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
No
Will Kojima reveal himself?
No
Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
Yes
Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
No
Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
No
Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
No
Bonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
1
I have such little hope.
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Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
NoWill a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
NoWill Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
YesWill we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
YesWill more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
YesWill Knack reveal himself?
NoWill the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
NoWill Kojima reveal himself?
YesWill the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
YesWill a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
YesWill the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
YesWill the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
YesBonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
5
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Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
YesWill a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
NoWill Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown?
YesWill we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
YesWill more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
YesWill Knack reveal himself?
NoWill the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
NoWill Kojima reveal himself?
NoWill the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
NoWill a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
NoWill the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
Yes
The "Events" section on PS4 lists the show as 2 hours, so here's hoping.Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
YesBonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
1
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Will a Batman TRAILER be shown? YES
Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)? NO
Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown) NO
Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5? YES
Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)? YES
Will Knack reveal himself? NO
Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)? YES
Will Kojima reveal himself? NO
Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed? YES
Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed? NO
Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes? YES
Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7? YES
Bonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something) 3 times
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Liking the varied bets I'm getting so far. Seems like a pretty good spread.
Except for the tiebreakers, which is mostly 1's and 5's. lol Should have come up with something better.
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My longshot: Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers and Lord of the Rings: Return of the King HD Remake collection announced a launch title. Literally just the same levels/systems as the originals but made in Unreal 5.
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Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
yesWill a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
noWill Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
yes
Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
yes
Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
yes
Will Knack reveal himself?
no
Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
yes
Will Kojima reveal himself?
yes
Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
no
Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
yes
Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
yes
Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
yes
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@ff7cloud no tiebreaker bet?
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I feel that the Harry Potter bet would have been a good one up until a week ago.
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Damn, the degenerate sports better in me wishes this was for real so I could do some parlays.
Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
NOWill a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
NOWill Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
NOSide action - Elden Ring will be PS4 / XBO / PC only and get a next-gen port a year later.
Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
NO (but we will get a price)Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
YESWill Knack reveal himself?
YESWill the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
YESWill Kojima reveal himself?
NOWill the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
NOWill a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
YESWill the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
OVERWill the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
OVERBonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)OVER 2.5 TIMES
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Will a Batman TRAILER be shown? NO
Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)? NO
Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown) NO
Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5? YES
Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)? YES
Will Knack reveal himself? YES
Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)? NO
Will Kojima reveal himself? NO
Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed? YES
Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed? YES
Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes? NO
Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7? YES
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something) 2
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Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
Yes (please)Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
NoWill Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
NoWill we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
YesWill more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
YesWill Knack reveal himself?
NoWill the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
NoWill Kojima reveal himself?
NoWill the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
NoWill a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
NoWill the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
NoWill the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
NoBonus/tiebreaker:
How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)8
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Gonna close betting in 15 min.
This is what I've got so far: