Quick and dirty forum bets: PS5



  • I know we just got a betting special, but transposing the arcane rules and regs Don and Huber are using to the forum setting would be tough and require more time and effort than I'm willing to devote. Also, there's not much time left before the actual event, so I just came up with a few simple Y/N questions for predictions:

    Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?

    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?

    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)

    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?

    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?

    Will Knack reveal himself?

    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?

    Will Kojima reveal himself?

    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?

    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?

    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?

    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?

    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)



  • Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
    Y

    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
    N

    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown?
    N

    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
    N

    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
    Y

    Will Knack reveal himself?
    Y

    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
    Y

    Will Kojima reveal himself?
    Y

    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
    Y

    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
    Y

    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
    N

    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
    Y

    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
    4



  • Cool idea!!

    Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
    No

    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
    No

    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
    Yes

    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
    No

    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
    Yes

    Will Knack reveal himself?
    Definitely

    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
    No

    Will Kojima reveal himself?
    No

    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
    Yes

    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
    Yes

    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
    Yes

    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
    Yes

    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
    0



  • Sounds fun, here's my predictions:

    @tokyoslim said in Quick and dirty forum bets: PS5:

    Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?

    No. I think logically speaking most individual games have less than a 50% chance of appearing. In my model, you really need something to be 1st party or highly expected to be coming to PS5 to raise that above 50%.

    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?

    No.

    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown?

    No.

    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?

    Unfortunately no. Even in normal years, these first big console presentations have a nasty habit of kicking that can down the road. They really ought to give us this information during console reveals, but I think an exact launch date will be the big hurdle. (if not the price as well!) We don't know either from Microsoft, and they are further down this "marketing/press announcement" road.

    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?

    Yes. Even if Japan is half of their games, getting 12+ games shown total isn't that huge of a target to exceed. Indies will fill that up nicely. (And what about N. American 1st party studios...do they count?)

    Will Knack reveal himself?

    Yes.

    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?

    No. (Sorry!)

    Will Kojima reveal himself?

    Yes. Tough call. There some chance he could appear on camera attached to a new trailer, but I think that chance is also low so soon after Death Stranding. On the other hand, Kojima would be a good person to use for those "here are developers saying nice things about how easy our new system is to program and how they have exctigin ideas/can't wait/new possibilities etc." that we often get for new consoles.

    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?

    Yes.

    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?

    Yes. Racing is such a new console staple, so eh why not this time?

    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?

    No, in their minds this is not an E3 press conference, it is the reveal event. They will want to keep it tight because this is their biggest moment to get eyeballs on PS5.

    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?

    Yes. Microsoft managed it, didn't they?

    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch?

    Once.



  • Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
    Yes

    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
    Yes

    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
    No

    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
    No

    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
    Yes

    Will Knack reveal himself?
    Heck no

    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
    Yes

    Will Kojima reveal himself?
    No

    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
    Yes

    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
    Yes

    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
    Yes

    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
    Yes

    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
    5 times, cuz it's the PS5



  • Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
    Yes

    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
    No

    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown?
    No

    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
    Yes

    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
    Yes

    Will Knack reveal himself?
    No

    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
    No

    Will Kojima reveal himself?
    No

    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
    Yes

    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
    No

    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
    Yes

    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
    Yes

    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
    0 - It's pre-recorded, so it should be smooth.



  • Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
    Y

    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
    Y

    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
    N

    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
    Y

    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
    N

    Will Knack reveal himself?
    N

    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
    N

    Will Kojima reveal himself?
    N

    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
    Y

    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
    N

    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
    Y

    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
    Y

    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
    Just once, but it'll be a long stutter



  • Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
    Yes
    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
    No
    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
    No
    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
    No
    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
    Yes
    Will Knack reveal himself?
    Yes
    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
    No
    Will Kojima reveal himself?
    No
    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
    Yes
    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
    No
    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
    No
    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
    No
    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
    1
    I have such little hope.



  • Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
    No

    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
    No

    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
    Yes

    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
    Yes

    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
    Yes

    Will Knack reveal himself?
    No

    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
    No

    Will Kojima reveal himself?
    Yes

    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
    Yes

    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
    Yes

    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
    Yes

    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
    Yes

    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
    5



  • Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
    Yes

    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
    No

    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown?
    Yes

    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
    Yes

    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
    Yes

    Will Knack reveal himself?
    No

    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
    No

    Will Kojima reveal himself?
    No

    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
    No

    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
    No

    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
    Yes
    The "Events" section on PS4 lists the show as 2 hours, so here's hoping.

    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
    Yes

    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)
    1



  • Will a Batman TRAILER be shown? YES
    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)? NO
    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown) NO
    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5? YES
    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)? YES
    Will Knack reveal himself? NO
    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)? YES
    Will Kojima reveal himself? NO
    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed? YES
    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed? NO
    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes? YES
    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7? YES
    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something) 3 times



  • Liking the varied bets I'm getting so far. Seems like a pretty good spread.
    Except for the tiebreakers, which is mostly 1's and 5's. lol Should have come up with something better.



  • My longshot: Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers and Lord of the Rings: Return of the King HD Remake collection announced a launch title. Literally just the same levels/systems as the originals but made in Unreal 5.



  • Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
    yes

    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
    no

    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
    yes
    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
    yes
    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
    yes
    Will Knack reveal himself?
    no
    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
    yes
    Will Kojima reveal himself?
    yes
    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
    no
    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
    yes
    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
    yes
    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
    yes



  • @ff7cloud no tiebreaker bet?



  • I feel that the Harry Potter bet would have been a good one up until a week ago.



  • Damn, the degenerate sports better in me wishes this was for real so I could do some parlays.


    Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
    NO

    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
    NO

    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
    NO

    Side action - Elden Ring will be PS4 / XBO / PC only and get a next-gen port a year later.

    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
    NO (but we will get a price)

    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
    YES

    Will Knack reveal himself?
    YES

    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
    YES

    Will Kojima reveal himself?
    NO

    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
    NO

    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
    YES

    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
    OVER

    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
    OVER

    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)

    OVER 2.5 TIMES



  • Will a Batman TRAILER be shown? NO
    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)? NO
    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown) NO
    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5? YES
    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)? YES
    Will Knack reveal himself? YES
    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)? NO
    Will Kojima reveal himself? NO
    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed? YES
    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed? YES
    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes? NO
    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7? YES
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something) 2



  • Will a Batman TRAILER be shown?
    Yes (please)

    Will a Harry Potter game be shown (trailer, gameplay, or title card)?
    No

    Will Elden Ring GAMEPLAY be shown? (A HUD /menu system is shown)
    No

    Will we get a release date AND price for the PS5?
    Yes

    Will more than 5 individual games by N. American or European devs be shown? (Collections count as one unless different studios worked on different games)?
    Yes

    Will Knack reveal himself?
    No

    Will the words "Silent Hill" appear onscreen in text (not including subs)?
    No

    Will Kojima reveal himself?
    No

    Will the sequel to Horizon be revealed?
    No

    Will a previously unannounced racing game be revealed?
    No

    Will the total presentation run longer than 1 hour and 10 minutes?
    No

    Will the number of new next gen games featured (not remasters/reboots/HD collections, etc) be more than 7?
    No

    Bonus/tiebreaker:
    How many times during the EZA live reaction stream will the official Sony feed stutter, freeze, or glitch? (unintentionally, not as part of a trailer or something)

    8



  • Gonna close betting in 15 min.

    This is what I've got so far:
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